Dems make their argument on early vote

Yesterday I posted a memo from Republicans making their argument on why the early voting and absentee ballot numbers should be seen as an edge for the GOP.  Today, Democrats issued their own rebuttal for the state of Ohio, which you can see below.

I will also post the original GOP summary on Ohio, so you can compare and contrast the two more easily.

Here is the Democratic memo put out by the Obama for America campaign.


The way to gauge success in Ohio, where voters don’t register with a party affiliation, is by looking at how individual counties and precincts voted in 2008—and those numbers look really good:

  • Counties and precincts that Obama won in 2008 are voting early at a higher rate than counties that voted Republican four years ago.

  • In counties that Obama won in 2008, 10 percent of registered voters have already cast their ballots, versus only 7 percent in Republican counties.

  • Voters in precincts that voted for Obama in 2008 have cast more than half (54 percent) of the 2012 ballots.

  • Voters in precincts that voted for Obama in 2008 have cast 53,000 more ballots this year than those in precincts that voted Republican in 2008. At this point four years ago, our lead in these same GOP precincts was just 30,000 ballots.

President Obama leads Mitt Romney by double-digits in every public poll of early voters. A new Time poll shows the President up 60-30 overall, with big leads among women and voters younger than 40.

We’re also encouraged by the enthusiasm among Ohio voters who didn’t vote in the midterm election and who matter most in a get-out-the-vote effort. Non-midterm voters who live in precincts that voted for Obama in 2008 have cast 52 percent more ballots compared with non-midterm voters in Republican precincts.

While we’re seeing such strong support across Ohio, Republicans are trying to talk up their ground game, too. But their math here is just as questionable as Mitt Romney’s tax plan that doesn’t add up, his jobs plan that doesn’t create jobs, and his deficit plan that doesn’t reduce the deficit.

You see, when the Romney campaign boasts that Republicans are out-performing their voter registration, they forget to tell you that Ohio doesn’t have party registration—state officials simply identify you by the party in whose primary you most recently voted. And because Republicans had a competitive primary this year and Democrats did not, Republicans naturally have a 460,000-person edge this year among past primary voters—what Romney’s campaign is disingenuously referring to as “registered Republicans.” But as you can see in the numbers above, Democratic primary voters are outvoting Republican primary voters by a wide margin across the state anyway.


That Democratic memo concludes by saying, “We’re more than happy to put our numbers against theirs any day of the week. And since every day is Election Day in Ohio, we can.”

As for the GOP review of Ohio, here is that section from their Wednesday memo:


* Republicans are outperforming our share of voter registration in absentee requests and early votes by 8.73 points.
* Democrats are underperforming their share of 2008 AB/EV votes cast by 7.60 percentage points, while the GOP is over-performing their share by 5.94 points. The result is a net swing of +13.54 percentage points for Republicans.
* Republicans have closed the gap on Democrats’ historic absentee and early vote advantage for 15 of the past 16 days.
* Republicans have made almost 3.7 million volunteer voter contacts in Ohio since the RNC’s AB/EV turnout program began nationwide.